"You can fool some of the people all the time, and
all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the
people all the time." - Abraham Lincoln
One element of poker is deception. Bluffing is the quintessential trick
in poker. Of course, the reasoning for a bluff is to deceive the other
players into thinking you have a better hand when you actually do not.
For a bluff to work, you need the other players to think you actually
have that better hand. Many beginning poker players love this idea of
bluffing and often misuse it. The value of the bluff increases under
certain general circumstances that often have a lot to do with
information you assume about the other players. This vagueness makes it
difficult to give definitive reasons or places to bluff. Some less
generalized times to bluff and some advice are given below. The bottom
of the page gives some more ideas and perspectives on deception in
poker.
Some typical reasons to bluff...
A. When there aren't many other players in a pot.
Simply put, it's easier to trick a couple people
than a crowd. With fewer hands out there, chances are better that no one
has made a reasonable hand. This is fairly common though, so many
players won't believe you. Some will stay in the hand just to "keep you
honest", so sometimes this needs to be a persistent bluff over a period
of two or three betting rounds. That can be costly if they don't fall
for it. You need to know the players before you use this type of bluff.
B. When you're up against fairly tight players.
Those that tend to fold easily are the biggest
targets of a bluff. Bets will be put out just as a form of information
gathering on this player's hand. If you bluff early (pre-flop, flop)
against a very tight player and they don't buckle, you should think
twice about trying it again on a future round. They have something. Your
job is to determine whether they have a made or drawing hand. Once
again, you need to know the players.
C. On the river.
Especially if apparent drawing hands missed.
That's when players react to rule #1 "the moment you know you can't win,
throw in your cards". It is often a good idea to bluff with a weak hand,
like ace-high or lowest pair with these kinds of bluffs, because some
players will stay in just because of pot odds. If you do that, it is
actually semi-bluffing (see the bottom of the page).
D. You're in late position and everyone else checked.
This one you'll have to gauge for yourself. It
will most likely force some players out, but not all. This is a pretty
common bluff once again, and many players will stay in just because of
bet odds, and/or to once again "keep you honest". This is another
example of a bluff that needs to be more persistent over a couple
betting rounds.
E. You bet pre-flop and missed.
That's because they don't know you missed! This
can be dangerous, and you really have to evaluate to board before you
get into this one. Sometimes it's good to bluff when AK misses,
sometimes when 99 misses. You have to really feel this one out.
F. You have given other players "the fear".
It's about how other players perceive you. If you
just won a hand through good play, the players who say "nice hand" are
the ones who now respect you. They will more likely fold to your bluff
if you play it right. The trick is to play the hand exactly the same way
you played the other winning hand. Give it the "here we go again" act.
G. When the flop isn't so great.
Some players will fold automatically if all they
have is an overcard. With a rainbow flop of 2, 6, 9, not many players
will have much. This is another example of a bluff that can go horribly
awry. I wouldn't be too persistent in this case, unless only more low
cards pop up. Once again, know your players.
H. Pre-flop on the button, and everyone else has folded.
This is usually best used with tight players to
your left. Its good because it can change from a bluff to a deceptively
good hand with luck and the right flop.
I. When there is a pair on the board.
This is especially useful when the pair is 88 or
lower. Chances are that these cards might have been folded or are still
in the deck. This is one situation where you want to evaluate the hand
very carefully if they do call though. This is a great situation to read
the tells of the players who are NOT involved in the game. It's much
easier to give away the fact that you HAD a card than if you HAVE it.
Keep in mind that these are pretty common reasons to bluff. Many players
know these reasons. Most of the time it just won't work. The main thing
is always to know your players and to not do it so often that it never
works.
There's some great books about bluffing out there. We suggest reading as
much as you can about it, as it's one of the most misunderstood aspects
of poker.
When Are They Bluffing?
This isn't about reading tells. This is about the situations where
bluffing is plausible, and when other players will do it. You can
generally look at the reasons YOU should bluff and apply them to other
players. Of course, you also have to know the player, and evaluate it
from there, but here are some ideas...
A. They are keeping the initiative despite a poor flop.
If they bet pre-flop from a poor position, and the flop is something
like 4, 5, 5, they are probably just trying to keep momentum going and
bluff their way out of this hand. They probably have genuinely zero
drawing chances with overcards or maybe an overpair, but a re-raise
could have them rethink that strategy. It might also give you a betting
round or two to try and make YOUR hand.
B. Pot Odds are in their favor.
If everyone folds on the turn with a big pot, like when an obvious draw
was missed, expect a bluff. It's almost certain that anyone will bluff
against a big pot. With the pot odds the way they are, you probably want
to stay in those hands also.
C. It's you and them.
The most common time to bluff is when you can pull it off. It's very
easy to trick just one person. Use your skills at evaluating the
previous rounds and the board to determine what they might have.
D. The flop doesn't have any draws.
Sometimes someone will bet in this case to eliminate the ability to
acquire a draw, sometimes because they have a good hand. You really have
to know the player.
E. They bet on the Flop, checked on the turn.
If there was a draw, and it didn't hit, they are probably just buying a
free card. Bet back against them and take the initiative.
F. Bet on the flop, bet on the turn, checked on the river.
Same as before, but they bought another turn. Might as well bet back at
them.
If they really wanted you to save your money, they wouldn't have bet.
Sometimes players say that just to create the opposite image, so look
out. Few are that crafty though, so tell Uncle Sam that he's bluffing
and re-raise.